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Small hopes remain for returning to the 1.5°C climate target

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@fyinews team

06/11/2025

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  1. Ten years after the Paris Agreement (COP21), the planet is now experiencing its second consecutive year in which global temperatures have risen above the 1.5°C threshold.
  2. In that agreement, 195 countries committed to preventing the Earth’s temperature from rising more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. However, current national plans are projected to lead to an increase of 2.3–2.5°C.
  3. Nonetheless, according to new research, if immediate measures are taken, for example, a rapid transition to renewable energy, global warming could be limited to 1.7°C by 2050 and potentially reach 1.5°C again by 2100.

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Nearly ten years after the signing of the Paris Agreement (COP21), the planet is entering its second consecutive year in which global temperatures have risen above the 1.5°C threshold. In that agreement, 195 countries committed to taking the necessary measures to prevent the Earth’s temperature from rising more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. It is worth noting, however, that the 1.5°C target refers to long-term 20-year averages, which means this threshold has not yet been officially exceeded.

However, based on current national plans, global warming is expected to reach +2.3–2.5°C — a catastrophic increase that would lead to extreme weather events and the destruction of ecosystems.

Fewer than half of the countries that will meet on Monday at the COP30 summit in Brazil have submitted sufficient climate action plans.

Nevertheless, according to new research by Climate Analytics, if governments take immediate measures — such as a rapid transition to renewable energy, an end to fossil fuel burning, and the electrification of key sectors (e.g., transport, heating, industry) — it may be possible to limit warming to 1.7°C by 2050 and return to the 1.5°C target by 2100.

Representatives from participating countries will meet in Belém, Brazil, for COP30 (November 10–21) to discuss the state of the climate, at a time when fewer than half have submitted the required adequate climate plans.

Source: Guardian

 

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